|Hoppy’s Senior Circuit Review – FINALLY!||Tweet|
|The Senior Circuit|
|Written by Jeff Hopkins|
|Sunday, 17 February 2013 22:09|
Pitchers and catchers are finally in camp and many position players are reporting early – good times are here again! Let’s get it!
Some News and Notes from the NL:
Rants and Ramblings:
One guy new to the NL that only got a brief spot when he got traded to Washington was Denard Span. Acquired to play centerfield, and allow Harper to move to left field, Span has had about a 230 ADP, the 65th OF taken. In 2012 he hit a respectable .283 and had 17 SBs, but only managed 128 games played. Moving to WAS who has a young and powerful offense in the works should be a boon for Span, with new energy and flat-out more bat hitting behind him. To be followed by Harper-Zimmerman-LaRoche-Werth-Desmond-Espinosa will be an upgrade to say the least, so if he can get on base and put in 150 games he should equal his 2010 season with a better average (…something like .285-85-5-60-25) which is a very decent OF4 pick late in a draft, with the upside of maybe more depending on the WAS offense and his confidence. Even those numbers would likely be equal to or better then what Carl Crawford will put up (39OF/138ADP) as well as Shane Victorino (35OF, 125ADP), Melky Cabrerra (23OF/73ADP), and Angel Pagan (31OF/103ADP) in 2013. Span will be a sneaky good pick this year late in drafts.
So, I have a question for all – in a non-keeper league, would you draft the following stats (.275-100-25-85-20) in the 2nd round if guys like Tulo, Stanton, Hamilton, Verlander, Strasburg and Kershaw were still available? Tulo could put those numbers up in a full season at a shallow position in fantasy production, Stanton will likely make a run at 60 HRs this year, and Hamilton will be hitting behind Trout and Pujols. Kershaw and Verlander are now hunting for the first $200M contract for a pitcher, and Strasburg may have the most to prove after having his leash pulled last year way too early. So basically that is six guys I would take over that stat line. Not that it is a bad set of stats, it is very solid five-category production that every team should hope to have, but at pick #16, ADP in early mock drafts, is quite high, combined with passing on these six guys along with guys like Goldschmidt (who will match those numbers), Adam Jones and Evan Longoria.
This would essentially be the guy who had pick #5 in a 10 team league, who likely took someone like Cano, Pujols or McCutchen with their first-round pick and could be .300-40HR-100RBI, or the top SS in fantasy baseball, or the best starter in baseball – all of which are fantasy gold. But for some reason managers are looking at this guy at #16 ADP and nabbing him on a steady basis. Personally, I would take any of the six above before I took this guy – not that he is a bad pick or anything, just that there are other players that carry more value at their position and are more valuable because of it. In a keeper league his value is one of the tops right now, but in none keepers he is definitely being over drafts this year, even with the potential of a sophomore slump of some sorts looming, even if it is unlikely.
This guy’s name is Bryce Harper…how the hype machine rolls on, and no one even notices it or complains anymore.
Don’t forget to check out the Dobber Baseball fantasy guides for 2013!
Catch me on twitter @CanuckHoppy
|Last Updated on Monday, 18 February 2013 16:57|