|Hoppy's Senior Circuit Review – Start Thinking About Hidden Value||Tweet|
|The Senior Circuit|
|Written by Jeff Hopkins|
|Sunday, 25 November 2012 17:50|
Well, the NL hot stove continues to plod alone quietly, as usual, as we work up to the winter meetings, likely picking up steam in about a week before the GM’s get together under one roof. Then all hell breaks loose, normally grounded business minds get turned upside down and do ridiculous things like spend $240M on Pujols, or $162M on Carl Crawford, or give Zack Greinke $120M+ for 6yrs+.
Until then we can continue to speculate and talk about the potential fall out of possible deal, because, let’s face it, the WBC qualifying just isn’t captivating baseball fans much. To be constructive I have started looking at hidden value that may still be found for a short time for 2013 drafts. Let’s get it!
Discretely quiet hitting value for 2013 from the NL:
Let’s start considering who may be on the cusp of super stardom or that big breakout year in the NL, could slide in value or be nabbed later in a draft, and could potentially provide early round production. These four guys are all young and talented enough to be top shelf hitters in the NL but still may slide past round 3, 4 or 5 in most standard (non NL-only) leagues. I will target all four in every league I play in 2013 regardless of the format.
The players above are good examples of players who may not be taken in the first four rounds but could put up close to that level of production. By passing early on guys like Fielder or Tex at 1B for $25+ you could still likely land Craig or Goldschmidt for $10-13 as most teams will be after the big guns for big bucks and these two will easily be top 10 at 1B, maybe top 7 in overall production.
A similar strategy in the OF could yield savings to be spent elsewhere as Fowler and his ability to fill the entire stat sheet while not being a real liability anywhere (other than a little light in home runs) will push him past other OFs like Bourne, Pence, Bruce and their ~$20 price tags on my draft sheet with his likely cost around $9-11 (after being had for $1 in many leagues in 2012). Having an outfield made up of say Fowler-Craig-Morse for a total of about $35-40 would give you steady and solid production while saving enough cash to even overpay for a second top tier starter or reach a little in price in a shallow talent position like 2B or C.
Some other guys I like in 2013 to achieve but come at mid round value or less:
Some Other News from the NL:
Former first half hero Bryan LaHair was released by the Cubbies and ended up signing a deal with the Softbank Hawks in Japanese Pacific League. After hitting .286 with 14HR and 30RBI in the first half and making the ASG for the NL he proceeded to bomb out at .202 with 2 HR and 10RBI in the second half of the season. Young stud Anthony Rizzou coming up and taking the first base starting role obviously didn’t help but LaHair pretty much did nothing to keep the job. A stereotypical “Quad-A” type of hitter, LaHair likely has found a permanent home in the leagues in Japan.
Somehow we have reports saying up to four teams (BOS, TB, HOU and PHI) have contacted Lance Berkman about a possible 15thseaosn from the Big Puma. After an MVP calibre season and World Series title in 2011 Berkman suffered through an injury plagued 32 game 2012 season, after which most people expected him to pack it in and call it a career. Berkman is currently the assistant coach of the Rice baseball team and doesn’t seem overly anxious to leave that post unless he is blown away by an offer.
Rants and Ramblings:
Mark Beuhrle who recently got shipped to the Blue Jays voiced his displeasure recently:
The list of people Jeff Loria and Larry Beinfest have lied to while running the Fish is immeasurable…
Imagine what sort of damage Stanton will do to baseballs this year as he takes out his anger about what his crooked, deceitful, lying, scum of the earth owner and his cronies have done to his team...and how be builds his case for free agency over the next few years counting down the days until he can get out of the prison known as Jeff Loria’s team.
Catch me on twitter @CanuckHoppy
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|Last Updated on Wednesday, 28 November 2012 15:23|