| Hot Sticks - September 29, 2012 | Tweet |
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| Coming Up Clutch | |||
| Written by Greg Churchill | |||
| Saturday, 29 September 2012 14:22 | |||
Wilin Rosario; .565/ .615/ .913, 2 HR, 4 RBI. Excellent article on the young catcher over here at Fangraphs.
D.J. LeMahieu; .500/ .522/ .909, 1 HR, 5 RBI. In 140 PA, 2011 Fall League play, DJ stole 14 bases. He swiped another 13 in 280 AAA PA before his promotion. Only a single SB in 227 MLB PA’s, DJ needs to steal to have fantasy value. He also has zone control issues. Keep him on your radar in 2013, but leave him on the waiver wire for now.
Donovan Solano; .478/ .478/ .826, 2 HR, 5 RBI. More empty average. No reason to add him to your roster.
Chris Davis; .455/ .520/ .818, 2 HR, 5 RBI. Big Power, terrible zone control, will always be a slump away from losing at bats. Also, while he has gained outfield eligibility, he has lost 3B, making him less valuable.
Brandon Moss; .440/ .533/ .840, 2 HR, 2 RBI. Has shown good power in the past, but nothing like this season. 305 ISO is over a hundred points higher than his career average. Very poor zone control, coupled with a high babip, makes Brandon a very good candidate to regress sharply in 2013.
Stephen Drew; .438/ .500/ .594, 1 HR, 3 RBI. Drew had a strong season, 2008. He isn’t likely to ever come close to repeating.
Martin Prado; .435/ .480/ .739, 1 HR, 2 RBI. Clutch in September, the speed is a welcome surprise and will drive up his price in 2013.
Raul Ibanez; .429/ .478/ 1.000, 3 HR, 5 RBI. Raul is killing it at home, but terrible on the road. He’ll be nothing more than roster filler in 2013.
Chris Nelson; .423/ .483/ .538, 5 RBI. Longtime infield prospect manning 3B for now, and doing well. His very high BABIP, and poor zone control, and the looming presence of Nolan Arenado, suggest a cautious approach is best regarding Nelson, when planning for 2013.
Everth Cabrera; .421/ .522/ .421, 4 SB. All speed. Given his many short comings as a hitter, hard to imagine him earning regular at bats in 2013.
Gil Velazquez; .409/ .409/ .455. Not worth your consideration.
Jordan Pacheco; .400/ .400/ .567, 1 HR, 7 RBI. Not nearly enough power for 1B, qualifies at 3B in your draft, but hard to imagine him developing into anything more than a solid bench option.
Wellington Castillo; .389/ .429/ .500, 3 RBI. OK power for the position, his k-rate is too high for his skill set, and his BABIP is very high. Hard to imagine him repeating even these modest totals in 2013.
Daniel Nava; .389/ .450/ .500, 1 RBI. Not worth rostering.
Shin Soo Choo; .370/ .469/ .444, 4 RBI, 3 SB. Nice comeback season. Keep your production expectations similarly modest for 2013.
Andy Dirks; .364/ .348/ .500, 3 RBI. Interesting hitter, entering his year 27 season in 2013, has a lot of plusses. He has double digit power, and shown double digit speed in the minors. Injuries have held him back. Needs a small uptick in his walk rate. If that comes, he could produce some very strong numbers in 2013.
Matt Carpenter; .333/ .440/ .333. Shown much better plate discipline in the minors than in St. Louis. Look for that aspect of his game to improve next season, and to continue to be a high average, contact hitter with weak power for a corner. Will qualify at 3B, and could be a very valuable late pick option in 2013.
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| Last Updated on Sunday, 30 September 2012 09:12 |







